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BAM Intelligence

Former Fed Vice Chair Explains the Financial Crisis — Larry Swedroe

The effects of the financial crisis are still with us. And many books have been written about it. Alan Blinder’s new book “After the Music Stopped,” which focuses on the why it happened, is the best I’ve read so far.

Blinder, who brings great credibility as both a Princeton University economist and a former Federal Reserve vice chairman begins his tale by showing how the following factors all contributed to creating the “perfect storm” that flattened the U.S. economy in 2008:

  • Complexity of the financial system
  • The failure of regulators to do their jobs
  • The transformation of investment banks from private partnerships to public companies
  • The dramatic increase in the use of leverage
  • The failure to require that derivatives be traded on public, regulated exchanges
  • Perverse compensation schemes that encouraged risk-taking

Blinder then turns his attention to the actions taken by both the government and the Federal Reserve. He shows how their actions prevented another Great Depression. And he does this all in clear English, so you don’t need an economics degree to understand how the Fed’s actions saved the day.

Blinder then shifts to his recommendations for reforming the system. He provides a look ahead, including a clear explanation of how the Fed can successfully unwind the explosive growth in its balance sheet, preventing the much feared inflation that many have been forecasting from actually occurring. He also explains that while the central bank has shot its big guns, it still has some ammunition it can use if it believes more actions are needed to stimulate the economy. For example, instead of buying a certain amount of bonds, the Fed could pledge to buy whatever amount of 10-year bonds is required to peg the yield to a certain level. And it can reduce the interest rate it pays on excess reserves the banks hold at the Fed, or even charge banks instead of paying them. That would hopefully induce banks to put the reserves to work (lend them to clients) instead of holding them.

Blinder also provides a quick look at the long-term deficit problem, including his thoughts on the way forward — the prescriptions need to cure the patient.

Bill Clinton’s blurb for the book does a good job of summing up it up: “If you want to understand every aspect of our economic crisis — how we got into it, how we escaped a depression, why we haven’t fully recovered and what we have to do now — read this book.”

 

This commentary appeared October 31 on Larry’s blog at CBSNews.com.

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Larry Swedroe

Chief Research Officer

Larry Swedroe is Chief Research Officer for the BAM ALLIANCE.

Previously, Larry was vice chairman of Prudential Home Mortgage. Larry holds an MBA in finance and investment from NYU, and a bachelor’s degree in finance from Baruch College.

To help inform investors about the evidence-based investing approach, he was among the first authors to publish a book that explained evidence-based investing in layman’s terms — The Only Guide to a Winning Investment Strategy You’ll Ever Need. He has authored 15 more books:

What Wall Street Doesn’t Want You to Know (2001)
Rational Investing in Irrational Times (2002)
The Successful Investor Today (2003)
Wise Investing Made Simple (2007)
Wise Investing Made Simpler (2010)
The Quest for Alpha (2011)
Think, Act and Invest Like Warren Buffett (2012)
The Incredible Shrinking Alpha (2015)
Your Complete Guide to Factor-Based Investing (2016)
Reducing the Risk of Black Swans (2018)
Your Complete Guide to a Successful & Secure Retirement (2019)

He also co-authored four books: The Only Guide to a Winning Bond Strategy You’ll Ever Need (2006), The Only Guide to Alternative Investments You’ll Ever Need (2008), The Only Guide You’ll Ever Need for the Right Financial Plan (2010) and Investment Mistakes Even Smart Investors Make and How to Avoid Them (2012). Larry also writes blogs for MutualFunds.com and Index Investor Corner on ETF.com.

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